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THE PRINCIPLES OF ECONOMICS
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第1章
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BookOne:PreliminarySurveyChapter1

Introduction1。Politicaleconomyoreconomicsisastudyofmankindintheordinarybusinessoflife。itexaminesthatpartofindividualandsocialactionwhichismostcloselyconnectedwiththeattainmentandwiththeuseofthematerialrequisitesofwellbeing。

Thusitisontheonesideastudyofwealth。andontheother,andmoreimportantside,apartofthestudyofman。Forman’scharacterhasbeenmouldedbyhisevery-daywork,andthematerialresourceswhichhetherebyprocures,morethanbyanyotherinfluenceunlessitbethatofhisreligiousideals。andthetwogreatformingagenciesoftheworld’shistoryhavebeenthereligiousandtheeconomic。Hereandtheretheardourofthemilitaryortheartisticspirithasbeenforawhilepredominant:

butreligiousandeconomicinfluenceshavenowherebeendisplacedfromthefrontrankevenforatime。andtheyhavenearlyalwaysbeenmoreimportantthanallothersputtogether。Religiousmotivesaremoreintensethaneconomic,buttheirdirectactionseldomextendsoversolargeapartoflife。Forthebusinessbywhichapersonearnshislivelihoodgenerallyfillshisthoughtsduringbyfarthegreaterpartofthosehoursinwhichhismindisatitsbest。duringthemhischaracterisbeingformedbythewayinwhichheuseshisfacultiesinhiswork,bythethoughtsandthefeelingswhichitsuggests,andbyhisrelationstohisassociatesinwork,hisemployersorhisemployees。

Andveryoftentheinfluenceexertedonaperson’scharacterbytheamountofhisincomeishardlyless,ifitisless,thanthatexertedbythewayinwhichitisearned。Itmaymakelittledifferencetothefulnessoflifeofafamilywhetheritsyearlyincomeis?000or?000。butitmakesaverygreatdifferencewhethertheincomeis?0or?50:forwith?50thefamilyhas,with?0ithasnot,thematerialconditionsofacompletelife。

Itistruethatinreligion,inthefamilyaffectionsandinfriendship,eventhepoormayfindscopeformanyofthosefacultieswhicharethesourceofthehighesthappiness。Buttheconditionswhichsurroundextremepoverty,especiallyindenselycrowdedplaces,tendtodeadenthehigherfaculties。ThosewhohavebeencalledtheResiduumofourlargetownshavelittleopportunityforfriendship。theyknownothingofthedecenciesandthequiet,andverylittleevenoftheunityoffamilylife。

andreligionoftenfailstoreachthem。Nodoubttheirphysical,mental,andmoralill-healthispartlyduetoothercausesthanpoverty:butthisisthechiefcause。

And,inadditiontotheResiduum,therearevastnumbersofpeoplebothintownandcountrywhoarebroughtupwithinsufficientfood,clothing,andhouse-room。whoseeducationisbrokenoffearlyinorderthattheymaygotoworkforwages。whothenceforthareengagedduringlonghoursinexhaustingtoilwithimperfectlynourishedbodies,andhavethereforenochanceofdevelopingtheirhighermentalfaculties。Theirlifeisnotnecessarilyunhealthyorunhappy。RejoicingintheiraffectionstowardsGodandman,andperhapsevenpossessingsomenaturalrefinementoffeeling,theymayleadlivesthatarefarlessincompletethanthoseofmany,whohavemorematerialwealth。

But,forallthat,theirpovertyisagreatandalmostunmixedeviltothem。Evenwhentheyarewell,theirwearinessoftenamountstopain,whiletheirpleasuresarefew。andwhensicknesscomes,thesufferingcausedbypovertyincreasestenfold。And,thoughacontentedspiritmaygofartowardsreconcilingthemtotheseevils,thereareotherstowhichitoughtnottoreconcilethem。Overworkedandundertaught,wearyandcareworn,withoutquietandwithoutleisure,theyhavenochanceofmakingthebestoftheirmentalfaculties。

Althoughthensomeoftheevilswhichcommonlygowithpovertyarenotitsnecessaryconsequences。yet,broadlyspeaking,thedestructionofthepooristheirpoverty,andthestudyofthecausesofpovertyisthestudyofthecausesofthedegradationofalargepartofmankind。

2。SlaverywasregardedbyAristotleasanordinanceofnature,andsoprobablywasitbytheslavesthemselvesinoldentime。ThedignityofmanwasproclaimedbytheChristianreligion:ithasbeenassertedwithincreasingvehemenceduringthelasthundredyears:but,onlythroughthespreadofeducationduringquiterecenttimes,arewebeginningtofeelthefullimportofthephrase。Nowatlastwearesettingourselvesseriouslytoinquirewhetheritisnecessarythatthereshouldbeanyso-calledlowerclassesatall:thatis,whetherthereneedbelargenumbersofpeopledoomedfromtheirbirthtohardworkinordertoprovideforotherstherequisitesofarefinedandculturedlife。whiletheythemselvesarepreventedbytheirpovertyandtoilfromhavinganyshareorpartinthatlife。

Thehopethatpovertyandignorancemaygraduallybeextinguished,derivesindeedmuchsupportfromthesteadyprogressoftheworkingclassesduringthenineteenthcentury。

Thesteam-enginehasrelievedthemofmuchexhaustinganddegradingtoil。wageshaverisen。educationhasbeenimprovedandbecomemoregeneral。therailwayandtheprinting-presshaveenabledmembersofthesametradeindifferentpartsofthecountrytocommunicateeasilywithoneanother,andtoundertakeandcarryoutbroadandfar-seeinglinesofpolicy。whilethegrowingdemandforintelligentworkhascausedtheartisanclassestoincreasesorapidlythattheynowoutnumberthosewhoselabourisentirelyunskilled。Agreatpartoftheartisanshaveceasedtobelongtothelowerclassesinthesenseinwhichthetermwasoriginallyused。andsomeofthemalreadyleadamorerefinedandnoblelifethandidthemajorityoftheupperclassesevenacenturyago。

Thisprogresshasdonemorethananythingelsetogivepracticalinteresttothequestionwhetheritisreallyimpossiblethatallshouldstartintheworldwithafairchanceofleadingaculturedlife,freefromthepainsofpovertyandthestagnatinginfluencesofexcessivemechanicaltoil。andthisquestionisbeingpressedtothefrontbythegrowingearnestnessoftheage。Thequestioncannotbefullyansweredbyeconomicscience。Fortheanswerdependspartlyonthemoralandpoliticalcapabilitiesofhumannature,andonthesematterstheeconomisthasnospecialmeansofinformation:hemustdoasothersdo,andguessasbesthecan。Buttheanswerdependsinagreatmeasureuponfactsandinferences,whicharewithintheprovinceofeconomics。andthisitiswhichgivestoeconomicstudiestheirchiefandtheirhighestinterest。

3。Itmighthavebeenexpectedthatascience,whichdealswithquestionssovitalforthewellbeingofmankind,wouldhaveengagedtheattentionofmanyoftheablestthinkersofeveryage,andbenowwelladvancedtowardsmaturity。Butthefactisthatthenumberofscientificeconomistshasalwaysbeensmallrelativelytothedifficultyoftheworktobedone。sothatthescienceisstillalmostinitsinfancy。Onecauseofthisisthatthebearingofeconomicsonthehigherwellbeingofmanhasbeenoverlooked。Indeed,asciencewhichhaswealthforitssubject-matter,isoftenrepugnantatfirstsighttomanystudents。forthosewhodomosttoadvancetheboundariesofknowledge,seldomcaremuchaboutthepossessionofwealthforitsownsake。

Butamoreimportantcauseisthatmanyofthoseconditionsofindustriallife,andofthosemethodsofproduction,distributionandconsumption,withwhichmoderneconomicscienceisconcerned,arethemselvesonlyofrecentdate。Itisindeedtruethatthechangeinsubstanceisinsomerespectsnotsogreatasthechangeinoutwardform。andmuchmoreofmoderneconomictheory,thanatfirstappears,canbeadaptedtotheconditionsofbackwardraces。Butunityinsubstance,underlyingmanyvarietiesofform,isnoteasytodetect。andchangesinformhavehadtheeffectofmakingwritersinallagesprofitlessthantheyotherwisemighthavedonebytheworkoftheirpredecessors。

Theeconomicconditionsofmodernlife,thoughmorecomplex,areinmanywaysmoredefinitethanthoseofearliertimes。

Businessismoreclearlymarkedofffromotherconcerns。therightsofindividualsasagainstothersandasagainstthecommunityaremoresharplydefined。andabovealltheemancipationfromcustom,andthegrowthoffreeactivity,ofconstantforethoughtandrestlessenterprise,havegivenanewprecisionandanewprominencetothecausesthatgoverntherelativevaluesofdifferentthingsanddifferentkindsoflabour。

4。Itisoftensaidthatthemodernformsofindustriallifearedistinguishedfromtheearlierbybeingmorecompetitive。Butthisaccountisnotquitesatisfactory。Thestrictmeaningofcompetitionseemstobetheracingofonepersonagainstanother,withspecialreferencetobiddingforthesaleorpurchaseofanything。Thiskindofracingisnodoubtbothmoreintenseandmorewidelyextendedthanitusedtobe:butitisonlyasecondary,andonemightalmostsay,anaccidentalconsequencefromthefundamentalcharacteristicsofmodernindustriallife。

Thereisnoonetermthatwillexpressthesecharacteristicsadequately。Theyare,asweshallpresentlysee,acertainindependenceandhabitofchoosingone’sowncourseforoneself,aself-reliance。adeliberationandyetapromptnessofchoiceandjudgment,andahabitofforecastingthefutureandofshapingone’scoursewithreferencetodistantaims。Theymayandoftendocausepeopletocompetewithoneanother。butontheotherhandtheymaytend,andjustnowindeedtheyaretending,inthedirectionofco-operationandCombinationofallkindsgoodandevil。Butthesetendenciestowardscollectiveownershipandcollectiveactionarequitedifferentfromthoseofearliertimes,becausetheyaretheresultnotofcustom,notofanypassivedriftingintoassociationwithone’sneighbours,butoffreechoicebyeachindividualofthatlineofconductwhichaftercarefuldeliberationseemstohimthebestsuitedforattaininghisends,whethertheyareselfishorunselfish。

Thetermcompetitionhasgatheredaboutitevilsavour,andhascometoimplyacertainselfishnessandindifferencetothewellbeingofothers。Nowitistruethatthereislessdeliberateselfishnessinearlythaninmodernformsofindustry。butthereisalsolessdeliberateunselfishness。Itisdeliberateness,andnotselfishness,thatisthecharacteristicofthemodernage。

Forinstance,whilecustominaprimitivesocietyextendsthelimitsofthefamily,andprescribescertaindutiestoone’sneighbourswhichfallintodisuseinalatercivilization,italsoprescribesanattitudeofhostilitytostrangers。Inamodernsocietytheobligationsoffamilykindnessbecomemoreintense,thoughtheyareconcentratedonanarrowerarea。andneighboursareputmorenearlyonthesamefootingwithstrangers。Inordinarydealingswithbothofthemthestandardoffairnessandhonestyislowerthaninsomeofthedealingsofaprimitivepeoplewiththeirneighbours:butitismuchhigherthanintheirdealingswithstrangers。Thusitisthetiesofneighbourhoodalonethathavebeenrelaxed:thetiesoffamilyareinmanywaysstrongerthanbefore,familyaffectionleadstomuchmoreself-sacrificeanddevotionthanitusedtodo。andsympathywiththosewhoarestrangerstousisagrowingsourceofakindofdeliberateunselfishness,thatneverexistedbeforethemodernage。Thatcountrywhichisthebirthplaceofmoderncompetitiondevotesalargerpartofitsincomethananyothertocharitableuses,andspenttwentymillionsonpurchasingthefreedomoftheslavesintheWestIndies。

Ineveryagepoetsandsocialreformershavetriedtostimulatethepeopleoftheirowntimetoanoblerlifebyenchantingstoriesofthevirtuesoftheheroesofold。Butneithertherecordsofhistorynorthecontemporaryobservationofbackwardraces,whencarefullystudied,giveanysupporttothedoctrinethatmanisonthewholeharderandharsherthanhewas。orthathewasevermorewillingthanheisnowtosacrificehisownhappinessforthebenefitofothersincaseswherecustomandlawhavelefthimfreetochoosehisowncourse。Amongraces,whoseintellectualcapacityseemsnottohavedevelopedinanyotherdirection,andwhohavenoneoftheoriginatingpowerofthemodernbusinessman,therewillbefoundmanywhoshowanevilsagacityindrivingahardbargaininamarketevenwiththeirneighbours。Notradersaremoreunscrupulousintakingadvantageofthenecessitiesoftheunfortunatethanarethecorn-dealersandmoney-lendersoftheEast。

Again,themodernerahasundoubtedlygivennewopeningsfordishonestyintrade。Theadvanceofknowledgehasdiscoverednewwaysofmakingthingsappearotherthantheyare,andhasrenderedpossiblemanynewformsofadulteration。Theproducerisnowfarremovedfromtheultimateconsumer。andhiswrong-doingsarenotvisitedwiththepromptandsharppunishmentwhichfallsontheheadofapersonwho,beingboundtoliveanddieinhisnativevillage,playsadishonesttrickononeofhisneighbours。

Theopportunitiesforknaveryarecertainlymorenumerousthantheywere。butthereisnoreasonforthinkingthatpeopleavailthemselvesofalargerproportionofsuchopportunitiesthantheyusedtodo。Onthecontrary,modernmethodsoftradeimplyhabitsoftrustfulnessontheonesideandapowerofresistingtemptationtodishonestyontheother,whichdonotexistamongabackwardpeople。Instancesofsimpletruthandpersonalfidelityaremetwithunderallsocialconditions:butthosewhohavetriedtoestablishabusinessofmoderntypeinabackwardcountryfindthattheycanscarcelyeverdependonthenativepopulationforfillingpostsoftrust。Itisevenmoredifficulttodispensewithimportedassistanceforwork,whichcallsforastrongmoralcharacter,thanforthatwhichrequiresgreatskillandmentalability。Adulterationandfraudintradewererampantinthemiddleagestoanextentthatisveryastonishing,whenweconsiderthedifficultiesofwrong-doingwithoutdetectionatthattime。

Ineverystageofcivilization,inwhichthepowerofmoneyhasbeenprominent,poetsinverseandprosehavedelightedtodepictapasttrulyGoldenAge,beforethepressureofmerematerialgoldhadbeenfelt。Theiridyllicpictureshavebeenbeautiful,andhavestimulatednobleimaginationsandresolves。

buttheyhavehadverylittlehistoricaltruth。Smallcommunitieswithsimplewantsforwhichthebountyofnaturehasmadeabundantprovision,haveindeedsometimesbeennearlyfreefromcareabouttheirmaterialneeds,andhavenotbeentemptedtosordidambitions。Butwheneverwecanpenetratetotheinnerlifeofacrowdedpopulationunderprimitiveconditionsinourowntime,wefindmorewant,morenarrowness,andmorehardnessthanwasmanifestatadistance:andweneverfindamorewidelydiffusedcomfortalloyedbylesssufferingthanexistsinthewesternworldto-day。Weoughtthereforenottobrandtheforces,whichhavemademoderncivilization,byanamewhichsuggestsevil。

Itisperhapsnotreasonablethatsuchasuggestionshouldattachtothetermcompetition。butinfactitdoes。Infact,whencompetitionisarraigned,itsanti-socialformsaremadeprominent。andcareisseldomtakentoinquirewhethertherearenototherformsofit,whicharesoessentialtothemaintenanceofenergyandspontaneity,thattheircessationmightprobablybeinjuriousonthebalancetosocialwellbeing。Thetradersorproducers,whofindthatarivalisofferinggoodsatalowerpricethanwillyieldthemagoodprofit,areangeredathisintrusion,andcomplainofbeingwronged。eventhoughitmaybetruethatthosewhobuythecheapergoodsareingreaterneedthanthemselves,andthattheenergyandresourcefulnessoftheirrivalisasocialgain。Inmanycasestheregulationofcompetitionisamisleadingterm,thatveilstheformationofaprivilegedclassofproducers,whooftenusetheircombinedforcetofrustratetheattemptsofanablemantorisefromalowerclassthantheirown。Underthepretextofrepressingantisocialcompetition,theydeprivehimofthelibertyofcarvingoutforhimselfanewcareer,wheretheservicesrenderedbyhimtotheconsumersofthecommoditywouldbegreaterthantheinjuries,thatheinflictsontherelativelysmallgroupwhichobjectstohiscompetition。

Ifcompetitioniscontrastedwithenergeticco-operationinunselfishworkforthepublicgood,theneventhebestformsofcompetitionarerelativelyevil。whileitsharsherandmeanerformsarehateful。Andinaworldinwhichallmenwereperfectlyvirtuous,competitionwouldbeoutofplace。butsoalsowouldbeprivatepropertyandeveryformofprivateright。Menwouldthinkonlyoftheirduties。andnoonewoulddesiretohavealargershareofthecomfortsandluxuriesoflifethanhisneighbours。

Strongproducerscouldeasilybearatouchofhardship。sotheywouldwishthattheirweakerneighbours,whileproducinglessshouldconsumemore。Happyinthisthought,theywouldworkforthegeneralgoodwithalltheenergy,theinventiveness,andtheeagerinitiativethatbelongedtothem。andmankindwouldbevictoriousincontestswithnatureateveryturn。SuchistheGoldenAgetowhichpoetsanddreamersmaylookforward。Butintheresponsibleconductofaffairs,itisworsethanfollytoignoretheimperfectionswhichstillclingtohumannature。

Historyingeneral,andespeciallythehistoryofsocialisticventures,showsthatordinarymenareseldomcapableofpureidealaltruismforanyconsiderabletimetogether。andthattheexceptionsaretobefoundonlywhenthemasterfulfervourofasmallbandofreligiousenthusiastsmakesmaterialconcernstocountfornothingincomparisonwiththehigherfaith。

Nodoubtmen,evennow,arecapableofmuchmoreunselfishservicethantheygenerallyrender:andthesupremeaimoftheeconomististodiscoverhowthislatentsocialassetcanbedevelopedmostquickly,andturnedtoaccountmostwisely。Buthemustnotdecrycompetitioningeneral,withoutanalysis:heisboundtoretainaneutralattitudetowardsanyparticularmanifestationofituntilheissurethat,humannaturebeingwhatitis,therestraintofcompetitionwouldnotbemoreanti-socialinitsworkingthanthecompetitionitself。

Wemayconcludethenthatthetermcompetitionisnotwellsuitedtodescribethespecialcharacteristicsofindustriallifeinthemodernage。Weneedatermthatdoesnotimplyanymoralqualities,whethergoodorevil,butwhichindicatestheundisputedfactthatmodernbusinessandindustryarecharacterizedbymoreself-relianthabits,moreforethought,moredeliberateandfreechoice。Thereisnotanyonetermadequateforthispurpose:butFreedomofIndustryandEnterprise,ormoreshortly,EconomicFreedom,pointsintherightdirection。anditmaybeusedintheabsenceofabetter。Ofcoursethisdeliberateandfreechoicemayleadtoacertaindeparturefromindividualfreedomwhenco-operationorcombinationseemstoofferthebestroutetothedesiredend。Thequestionshowfarthesedeliberateformsofassociationarelikelytodestroythefreedominwhichtheyhadtheiroriginandhowfartheyarelikelytobeconducivetothepublicweal,liebeyondthescopeofthepresentvolume。(1*)

5。Thisintroductorychapterwasfollowedinearliereditionsbytwoshortsketches:theonerelatedtothegrowthoffreeenterpriseandgenerallyofeconomicfreedom,andtheothertothegrowthofeconomicscience。Theyhavenoclaimtobesystematichistories,howevercompressed。theyaimonlyatindicatingsomelandmarksontheroutesbywhicheconomicstructureandeconomicthoughthavetravelledtotheirpresentposition。TheyarenowtransferredtoAppendicesAandBattheendofthisvolume,partlybecausetheirfulldriftcanbestbeseenaftersomeacquaintancehasbeenmadewiththesubject-matterofeconomics。andpartlybecauseinthetwentyyears,whichhaveelapsedsincetheywerefirstwritten,publicopinionastothepositionwhichthestudyofeconomicandsocialscienceshouldholdinaliberaleducationhasgreatlydeveloped。

Thereislessneednowthanformerlytoinsistthattheeconomicproblemsofthepresentgenerationderivemuchoftheirsubject-matterfromtechnicalandsocialchangesthatareofrecentdate,andthattheirformaswellastheirurgencyassumethroughouttheeffectiveeconomicfreedomofthemassofthepeople。

TherelationsofmanyancientGreeksandRomanswiththeslavesoftheirhouseholdsweregenialandhumane。ButeveninAtticathephysicalandmoralwellbeingofthegreatbodyoftheinhabitantswasnotacceptedasachiefaimofthecitizen。

Idealsoflifewerehigh,buttheyconcernedonlya。few。andthedoctrineofvalue,whichisfullofcomplexitiesinthemodernage,couldthenhavebeenworkedoutonaplan。suchascouldbeconceivedto-day,onlyifnearlyallmanualworkweresupersededbyautomaticmachineswhichrequiredmerelyadefiniteallowanceofsteam-powerandmaterials,andhadnoconcernwiththerequirementsofafullcitizen’slife。MuchofmoderneconomicsmightindeedhavebeenanticipatedinthetownsoftheMiddleAges,inwhichanintelligentanddaringspiritwasforthefirsttimecombinedwithpatientindustry。Buttheywerenotlefttoworkouttheircareerinpeace。andtheworldhadtowaitforthedawnoftheneweconomiceratillawholenationwasreadyfortheordealofeconomicfreedom。

Englandespeciallywasgraduallypreparedforthetask。buttowardstheendoftheeighteenthcentury,thechanges,whichhadsofarbeenslowandgradual,suddenlybecamerapidandviolent。

Mechanicalinventions,theconcentrationofindustries,andasystemofmanufacturingonalargescalefordistantmarketsbrokeuptheoldtraditionsofindustry,andlefteveryonetobargainforhimselfasbesthemight。andatthesametimetheystimulatedanincreaseofpopulationforwhichnoprovisionhadbeenmadebeyondstanding-roominfactoriesandworkshops。Thusfreecompetition,orrather,freedomofindustryandenterprise,wassetloosetorun,likeahugeuntrainedmonster,itswaywardcourse。Theabuseoftheirnewpowerbyablebutunculturedbusinessmenledtoevilsoneveryside。itunfittedmothersfortheirduties,itweigheddownchildrenwithoverworkanddisease。

andinmanyplacesitdegradedtherace。MeanwhilethekindlymeantrecklessnessofthepoorlawdidevenmoretolowerthemoralandphysicalenergyofEnglishmenthanthehardheartedrecklessnessofthemanufacturingdiscipline:forbydeprivingthepeopleofthosequalitieswhichwouldfitthemfortheneworderofthings,itincreasedtheevilanddiminishedthegoodcausedbytheadventoffreeenterprise。

Andyetthetimeatwhichfreeenterprisewasshowingitselfinanunnaturallyharshform,wastheverytimeinwhicheconomistsweremostlavishintheirpraisesofit。Thiswaspartlybecausetheysawclearly,whatweofthisgenerationhaveinagreatmeasureforgotten,thecrueltyoftheyokeofcustomandrigidordinancewhichithaddisplaced。andpartlybecausethegeneraltendencyofEnglishmenatthetimewastoholdthatfreedominallmatters,politicalandsocial,wasworthhavingateverycostexceptthelossofsecurity。ButpartlyalsoitwasthattheproductiveforceswhichfreeenterprisewasgivingothenationweretheonlymeansbywhichitcouldofferasuccessfulresistancetoNapoleon。Economiststhereforetreatedfreeenterprisenotindeedasanunmixedgood,butasalessevilthansuchregulationaswaspracticableatthetime。

Adheringtothelinesofthoughtthathadbeenstartedchieflybymedievaltraders,andcontinuedbyFrenchandEnglishphilosophersinthelatterhalfoftheeighteenthcentury,Ricardoandhisfollowersdevelopedatheoryoftheactionoffreeenterprise(or,astheysaid,freecompetition),whichcontainedmanytruths,thatwillbeprobablyimportantsolongastheworldexists。Theirworkwaswonderfullycompletewithinthenarrowareawhichitcovered。Butmuchofthebestofitconsistsofproblemsrelatingtorentandthevalueofcorn:-problemsonthesolutionofwhichthefateofEnglandjustthenseemedtodepend。butmanyofwhich,intheparticularforminwhichtheywereworkedoutbyRicardo,haveverylittledirectbearingonthepresentstateofthings。

AgooddealoftherestoftheirworkwasnarrowedbyitsregardingtooexclusivelythepeculiarconditionofEnglandatthattime。andthisnarrownesshascausedareaction。Sothatnow,whenmoreexperience,moreleisure,andgreatermaterialresourceshaveenabledustobringfreeenterprisesomewhatundercontrol,todiminishitspowerofdoingevilandincreaseitspowerofdoinggood,thereisgrowingupamongmanyeconomistsasortofspiteagainstit。Someeveninclinetoexaggerateitsevils,andattributetoittheignoranceandsuffering,whicharetheresultseitheroftyrannyandoppressioninpastages,orofthemisunderstandingandmismanagementofeconomicfreedom。

Intermediatebetweenthesetwoextremesarethegreatbodyofeconomistswho,workingonparallellinesinmanydifferentcountries,arebringingtotheirstudiesanunbiasseddesiretoascertainthetruth,andawillingnesstogothroughwiththelongandheavyworkbywhichalonescientificresultsofanyvaluecanbeobtained。Varietiesofmind,oftemper,oftrainingandofopportunitiesleadthemtoworkindifferentways,andtogivetheirchiefattentiontodifferentpartsoftheproblem。Allareboundmoreorlesstocollectandarrangefactsandstatisticsrelatingtopastandpresenttimes。andallareboundtooccupythemselvesmoreorlesswithanalysisandreasoningonthebasisofthosefactswhicharereadyathand:butsomefindtheformertaskthemoreattractiveandabsorbing,andothersthelatter。Thisdivisionoflabour,however,impliesnotopposition,butharmonyofpurpose。Theworkofalladdssomethingorothertothatknowledge,whichenablesustounderstandtheinfluencesexertedonthequalityandtoneofman’slifebythemannerinwhichheearnshislivelihood,andbythecharacterofthatlivelihood。

NOTES:

1。TheyoccupyaconsiderableplaceintheforthcomingvolumeonIndustryandTrade。

Chapter2

TheSubstanceofEconomics1。Economicsisastudyofmenastheyliveandmoveandthinkintheordinarybusinessoflife。Butitconcernsitselfchieflywiththosemotiveswhichaffect,mostpowerfullyandmoststeadily,man’sconductinthebusinesspartofhislife。

Everyonewhoisworthanythingcarrieshishighernaturewithhimintobusiness。and,thereaselsewhere,heisinfluencedbyhispersonalaffections,byhisconceptionsofdutyandhisreverenceforhighideals。Anditistruethatthebestenergiesoftheablestinventorsandorganizersofimprovedmethodsandappliancesarestimulatedbyanobleemulationmorethanbyanyloveofwealthforitsownsake。But,forallthat,thesteadiestmotivetoordinarybusinessworkisthedesireforthepaywhichisthematerialrewardofwork。Thepaymaybeonitswaytobespentselfishlyorunselfishly,fornobleorbaseends。andherethevarietyofhumannaturecomesintoplay。Butthemotiveissuppliedbyadefiniteamountofmoney:anditisthisdefiniteandexactmoneymeasurementofthesteadiestmotivesinbusinesslife,whichhasenabledeconomicsfartooutruneveryotherbranchofthestudyofman。Justasthechemist’sfinebalancehasmadechemistrymoreexactthanmostotherphysicalsciences。

sothiseconomist’sbalance,roughandimperfectasitis,hasmadeeconomicsmoreexactthananyotherbranchofsocialscience。Butofcourseeconomicscannotbecomparedwiththeexactphysicalsciences:foritdealswiththeeverchangingandsubtleforcesofhumannature。(1*)

Theadvantagewhicheconomicshasoverotherbranchesofsocialscienceappearsthentoarisefromthefactthatitsspecialfieldofworkgivesratherlargeropportunitiesforexactmethodsthananyotherbranch。Itconcernsitselfchieflywiththosedesires,aspirationsandotheraffectionsofhumannature,theoutwardmanifestationsofwhichappearasincentivestoactioninsuchaformthattheforceorquantityoftheincentivescanbeestimatedandmeasuredwithsomeapproachtoaccuracy。,andwhichthereforeareinsomedegreeamenabletotreatmentbyscientificmachinery。Anopeningismadeforthemethodsandthetestsofscienceassoonastheforceofaperson’smotives-notthemotivesthemselves-canbeapproximatelymeasuredbythesumofmoney,whichhewilljustgiveupinordertosecureadesiredsatisfaction。oragainbythesumwhichisjustrequiredtoinducehimtoundergoacertainfatigue。

Itisessentialtonotethattheeconomistdoesnotclaimtomeasureanyaffectionofthemindinitself,ordirectly。butonlyindirectlythroughitseffect。Noonecancompareandmeasureaccuratelyagainstoneanotherevenhisownmentalstatesatdifferenttimes:andnoonecanmeasurethementalstatesofanotheratallexceptindirectlyandconjecturallybytheireffects。Ofcoursevariousaffectionsbelongtoman’shighernatureandotherstohislower,andarethusdifferentinkind。

But,evenifweconfineourattentiontomerephysicalpleasuresandpainsofthesamekind,wefindthattheycanonlybecomparedindirectlybytheireffects。Infact,eventhiscomparisonisnecessarilytosomeextentconjectural,unlesstheyoccurtothesamepersonatthesametime。

Forinstancethepleasureswhichtwopersonsderivefromsmokingcannotbedirectlycompared:norcaneventhosewhichthesamepersonderivesfromitatdifferenttimes。Butifwefindamanindoubtwhethertospendafewpenceonacigar,oracupoftea,oronridinghomeinsteadofwalkinghome,thenwemayfollowordinaryusage,andsaythatheexpectsfromthemequalpleasures。

Ifthenwewishtocompareevenphysicalgratifications,wemustdoitnotdirectly,butindirectlybytheincentiveswhichtheyaffordtoaction。Ifthedesirestosecureeitheroftwopleasureswillinducepeopleinsimilarcircumstanceseachtodojustanhour’sextrawork,orwillinducemeninthesamerankoflifeandwiththesamemeanseachtopayashillingforit。wethenmaysaythatthosepleasuresareequalforourpurposes,becausethedesiresforthemareequallystrongincentivestoactionforpersonsundersimilarconditions。

Thusmeasuringamentalstate,asmendoinordinarylife,byitsmotor-forceortheincentivewhichitaffordstoaction,nonewdifficultyisintroducedbythefactthatsomeofthemotivesofwhichwehavetotakeaccountbelongtoman’shighernature,andotherstohislower。

Forsupposethattheperson,whomwesawdoubtingbetweenseverallittlegratificationsforhimself,hadthoughtafterawhileofapoorinvalidwhomhewouldpassonhiswayhome。andhadspentsometimeinmakinguphismindwhetherhewouldchooseaphysicalgratificationforhimself,orwoulddoakindlyactandrejoiceinanother’sjoy。Ashisdesiresturnednowtowardstheone,nowtheother,therewouldbechangeinthequalityofhismentalstates。andthephilosopherisboundtostudythenatureofthechange。

Buttheeconomiststudiesmentalstatesratherthroughtheirmanifestationsthaninthemselves。andifhefindstheyaffordevenlybalancedincentivestoaction,hetreatsthemprimafacieasforhispurposeequal。Hefollowsindeedinamorepatientandthoughtfulway,andwithgreaterprecautions,whateverybodyisalwaysdoingeverydayinordinarylife。Hedoesnotattempttoweightherealvalueofthehigheraffectionsofournatureagainstthoseofourlower:hedoesnotbalancetheloveforvirtueagainstthedesireforagreeablefood。Heestimatestheincentivestoactionbytheireffectsjustinthesamewayaspeopledoincommonlife。Hefollowsthecourseofordinaryconversation,differingfromitonlyintakingmoreprecautionstomakeclearthelimitsofhisknowledgeashegoes。Hereacheshisprovisionalconclusionsbyobservationsofmeningeneralundergivenconditionswithoutattemptingtofathomthementalandspiritualcharacteristicsofindividuals。Buthedoesnotignorethementalandspiritualsideoflife。Onthecontrary,evenforthenarrowerusesofeconomicstudies,itisimportanttoknowwhetherthedesireswhichprevailaresuchaswillhelptobuildupastrongandrighteouscharacter。Andinthebroaderusesofthosestudies,whentheyarebeingappliedtopracticalproblems,theeconomist,likeeveryoneelse,mustconcernhimselfwiththeultimateaimsofman,andtakeaccountofdifferencesinrealvaluebetweengratificationsthatareequallypowerfulincentivestoactionandhavethereforeequaleconomicmeasures。Astudyofthesemeasuresisonlythestarting-pointofeconomics:butitisthestarting-point。(2*)

2。Thereareseveralotherlimitationsofthemeasurementofmotivebymoneytobediscussed。Thefirstofthesearisesfromthenecessityoftakingaccountofthevariationsintheamountofpleasure,orothersatisfaction,representedbythesamesumofmoneytodifferentpersonsandunderdifferentcircumstances。

Ashillingmaymeasureagreaterpleasure(orothersatisfaction)atonetimethanatanotherevenforthesameperson。becausemoneymaybemoreplentifulwithhim,orbecausehissensibilitymayvary。(3*)Andpersonswhoseantecedentsaresimilar,andwhoareoutwardlylikeoneanother,areoftenaffectedinverydifferentwaysbysimilarevents。When,forinstance,abandofcityschoolchildrenaresentoutforaday’sholidayinthecountry,itisprobablethatnotwoofthemderivefromitenjoymentexactlythesameinkind,orequalinintensity。Thesamesurgicaloperationcausesdifferentamountsofpaintodifferentpeople。Oftwoparentswhoare,sofaraswecantell,equallyaffectionate,onewillsuffermuchmorethantheotherfromthelossofafavouriteson。Somewhoarenotverysensitivegenerallyareyetspeciallysusceptibletoparticularkindsofpleasureandpain。whiledifferencesinnatureandeducationmakeoneman’stotalcapacityforpleasureorpainmuchgreaterthananother’s。

Itwouldthereforenotbesafetosaythatanytwomenwiththesameincomederiveequalbenefitfromitsuse。orthattheywouldsufferequalpainfromthesamediminutionofit。Althoughwhenataxof?istakenfromeachoftwopersonshavinganincomeof?00ayear,eachwillgiveupthat?worthofpleasure(orothersatisfaction)whichhecanmosteasilypartwith,i。e。eachwillgiveupwhatismeasuredtohimbyjust?。

yettheintensitiesofthesatisfactiongivenupmaynotbenearlyequal。

Nevertheless,ifwetakeaveragessufficientlybroadtocausethepersonalpeculiaritiesofindividualstocounterbalanceoneanother,themoneywhichpeopleofequalincomeswillgivetoobtainabenefitoravoidaninjuryisagoodmeasureofthebenefitorinjury。IfthereareathousandpersonslivinginSheffield,andanotherthousandinLeeds,eachwithabout?00

a-year,andataxof?isleviedonallofthem。wemaybesurethatthelossofpleasureorotherinjurywhichthetaxwillcauseinSheffieldisofaboutequalimportancewiththatwhichitwillcauseinLeeds:andanythingthatincreasedalltheincomesby?wouldgivecommandoverequivalentpleasuresandotherbenefitsinthetwotowns。Thisprobabilitybecomesgreaterstillifallofthemareadultmalesengagedinthesametrade。

andthereforepresumablysomewhatsimilarinsensibilityandtemperament,intasteandeducation。Noristheprobabilitymuchdiminished,ifwetakethefamilyasourunit,andcomparethelossofpleasurethatresultsfromdiminishingby?theincomeofeachofathousandfamilieswithincomesof?00a-yearinthetwoplaces。

Nextwemusttakeaccountofthefactthatastrongerincentivewillberequiredtoinduceapersontopayagivenpriceforanythingifheispoorthanifheisrich。Ashillingisthemeasureoflesspleasure,orsatisfactionofanykind,toarichmanthantoapoorone。Arichmanindoubtwhethertospendashillingonasinglecigar,isweighingagainstoneanothersmallerpleasuresthanapoorman,whoisdoubtingwhethertospendashillingonasupplyoftobaccothatwilllasthimforamonth。Theclerkwith?00a-yearwillwalktobusinessinamuchheavierrainthantheclerkwith?00a-year。forthecostofaridebytramoromnibusmeasuresagreaterbenefittothepoorermanthantothericher。Ifthepoorermanspendsthemoney,hewillsuffermorefromthewantofitafterwardsthanthericherwould。Thebenefitthatismeasuredinthepoorerman’smindbythecostisgreaterthanthatmeasuredbyitinthericherman’smind。

Butthissourceoferroralsoislessenedwhenweareabletoconsidertheactionsandthemotivesoflargegroupsofpeople。

Ifweknow,forinstance,thatabankfailurehastaken?00,000

fromthepeopleofLeedsand?00,000fromthoseofSheffield,wemayfairlyassumethatthesufferingcausedinLeedshasbeenabouttwiceasgreatasinSheffield。unlessindeedwehavesomespecialreasonforbelievingthattheshareholdersofthebankintheonetownwerearicherclassthanthoseintheother。orthatthelossofemploymentcausedbyitpressedinunevenproportionsontheworkingclassesinthetwotowns。

Byfarthegreaternumberoftheeventswithwhicheconomicsdealsaffectinaboutequalproportionsallthedifferentclassesofsociety。sothatifthemoneymeasuresofthehappinesscausedbytwoeventsareequal,itisreasonableandinaccordancewithcommonusagetoregardtheamountsofthehappinessinthetwocasesasequivalent。And,further,asmoneyislikelytobeturnedtothehigherusesoflifeinaboutequalproportions,byanytwolargegroupsofpeopletakenwithoutspecialbiasfromanytwopartsofthewesternworld,thereisevensomeprimafacieprobabilitythatequaladditionstotheirmaterialresourceswillmakeaboutequaladditionstothefulnessoflife,andtrueprogressofthehumanrace。

3。Topasstoanotherpoint。Whenwespeakofthemeasurementofdesirebytheactiontowhichitformstheincentive,itisnottobesupposedthatweassumeeveryactiontobedeliberate,andtheoutcomeofcalculation。Forinthis,asineveryotherrespect,economicstakesmanjustasheisinordinarylife:andinordinarylifepeopledonotweighbeforehandtheresultsofeveryaction,whethertheimpulsestoitcomefromtheirhighernatureortheirlower。(4*)

Nowthesideoflifewithwhicheconomicsisspeciallyconcernedisthatinwhichman’sconductismostdeliberate,andinwhichhemostoftenreckonsuptheadvantagesanddisadvantagesofanyparticularactionbeforeheentersonit。

Andfurtheritisthatsideofhislifeinwhich,whenhedoesfollowhabitandcustom,andproceedsforthemomentwithoutcalculation,thehabitsandcustomsthemselvesaremostnearlysuretohavearisenfromacloseandcarefulwatchingtheadvantagesanddisadvantagesofdifferentcoursesofconduct。

Therewillnotingeneralhavebeenanyformalreckoningupoftwosidesofabalance-sheet:butmengoinghomefromtheirday’swork,orintheirsocialmeetings,willhavesaidtooneanother,Itdidnotanswertodothis,itwouldhavebeenbettertodothat,andsoon。Whatmakesonecourseanswerbetterthananother,willnotnecessarilybeaselfishgain,noranymaterialgain。anditwilloftenhavebeenarguedthat。thoughthisorthatplansavedalittletroubleoralittlemoney,yetitwasnotfairtoothers,anditmadeonelookmean,oritmadeonefeelmean。Itistruethatwhenahabitoracustom,whichhasgrownupunderonesetofconditions,influencesactionunderotherconditions,thereissofarnoexactrelationbetweentheeffortandtheendwhichisattainedbyit。Inbackwardcountriestherearestillmanyhabitsandcustomssimilartothosethatleadabeaverinconfinementtobuildhimselfadam。theyarefullofsuggestivenesstothehistorian,andmustbereckonedwithbythelegislator。Butinbusinessmattersinthemodernworldsuchhabitsquicklydieaway。

Thusthenthemostsystematicpartofpeople’slivesisgenerallythatbywhichtheyearntheirliving。Theworkofallthoseengagedinanyoneoccupationcanbecarefullyobserved。

generalstatementscanbemadeaboutit,andtestedbycomparisonwiththeresultsofotherobservations。andnumericalestimatescanbeframedastotheamountofmoneyorgeneralpurchasingpowerthatisrequiredtosupplyasufficientmotiveforthem。

Theunwillingnesstopostponeenjoyment,andthustosaveforfutureuse,ismeasuredbytheinterestonaccumulatedwealthwhichjustaffordsasufficientincentivetosaveforthefuture。

Thismeasurementpresentshoweversomespecialdifficulties,thestudyofwhichmustbepostponed。

4。Here,aselsewhere,wemustbearinmindthatthedesiretomakemoneydoesnotitselfnecessarilyproceedfrommotivesofaloworder,evenwhenitistobespentononeself。Moneyisameanstowardsends,andiftheendsarenoble,thedesireforthemeansisnotignoble。Theladwhoworkshardandsavesallhecan,inordertobeabletopayhiswayafterwardsataUniversity,iseagerformoney。buthiseagernessisnotignoble。

Inshort,moneyisgeneralpurchasingpower,andissoughtasameanstoallkindsofends,highaswellaslow,spiritualaswellasmaterial。(5*)

Thusthoughitistruethatmoneyorgeneralpurchasingpowerorcommandovermaterialwealth,isthecentrearoundwhicheconomicscienceclusters。thisisso,notbecausemoneyormaterialwealthisregardedasthemainaimofhumaneffort,norevenasaffordingthemainsubject-matterforthestudyoftheeconomist,butbecauseinthisworldofoursitistheoneconvenientmeansofmeasuringhumanmotiveonalargescale。Iftheoldereconomistshadmadethisclear,theywouldhaveescapedmanygrievousmisrepresentations。andthesplendidteachingsofCarlyleandRuskinastotherightaimsofhumanendeavourandtherightusesofwealth,wouldnotthenhavebeenmarredbybitterattacksoneconomics,basedonthemistakenbeliefthatthatsciencehadnoconcernwithanymotiveexcepttheselfishdesireforwealth,oreventhatitinculcatedapolicyofsordidselfishness。(6*)

Again,whenthemotivetoaman’sactionisspokenofassuppliedbythemoneywhichhewillearn,itisnotmeantthathismindisclosedtoallotherconsiderationssavethoseofgain。Foreventhemostpurelybusinessrelationsoflifeassumehonestyandgoodfaith。whilemanyofthemtakeforgranted,ifnotgenerosity,yetatleasttheabsenceofmeanness,andthepridewhicheveryhonestmantakesinacquittinghimselfwell。

Again,muchoftheworkbywhichpeopleearntheirlivingispleasurableinitself。andthereistruthinthecontentionofsocialiststhatmoreofitmightbemadeso。Indeedevenbusinesswork,thatseemsatfirstsightunattractive,oftenyieldsagreatpleasurebyofferingscopefortheexerciseofmen’sfaculties,andfortheirinstinctsofemulationandofpower。Forjustasaracehorseoranathletestrainseverynervetogetinadvanceofhiscompetitors,anddelightsinthestrain。soamanufactureroratraderisoftenstimulatedmuchmorebythehopeofvictoryoverhisrivalsthanbythedesiretoaddsomethingtohisfortune。(7*)

5。Ithasindeedalwaysbeenthepracticeofeconomiststotakecarefulaccountofalltheadvantageswhichattractpeoplegenerallytowardsanoccupation,whethertheyappearinamoneyformornot。Otherthingsbeingequal,peoplewillpreferanoccupationinwhichtheydonotneedtosoiltheirhands,inwhichtheyenjoyagoodsocialposition,andsoon。andsincetheseadvantagesaffect,notindeedeveryoneexactlyinthesameway,butmostpeopleinnearlythesameway,theirattractiveforcecanbeestimatedandmeasuredbythemoneywagestowhichtheyareregardedasequivalent。

Again,thedesiretoearntheapproval,toavoidthecontemptofthosearoundoneisastimulustoactionwhichoftenworkswithsomesortofuniformityinanyclassofpersonsatagiventimeandplace。thoughlocalandtemporaryconditionsinfluencegreatlynotonlytheintensityofthedesireforapproval,butalsotherangeofpersonswhoseapprovalisdesired。A

professionalman,forinstance,oranartisanwillbeverysensitivetotheapprovalordisapprovalofthoseinthesameoccupation,andcarelittleforthatofotherpeople。andtherearemanyeconomicproblems,thediscussionofwhichwouldbealtogetherunreal,ifcarewerenottakentowatchthedirectionandtoestimateprettycloselytheforceofmotivessuchasthese。

Astheremaybeataintofselfishnessinaman’sdesiretodowhatseemslikelytobenefithisfellow-workers,sotheremaybeanelementofpersonalprideinhisdesirethathisfamilyshouldprosperduringhislifeandafterit。Butstillthefamilyaffectionsgenerallyaresopureaformofaltruism,thattheiractionmighthaveshownlittlesemblanceofregularity,haditnotbeenfortheuniformityinthefamilyrelationsthemselves。

Asitis,theiractionisfairlyregular。andithasalwaysbeenfullyreckonedwithbyeconomists,especiallyinrelationtothedistributionofthefamilyincomebetweenitsvariousmembers,theexpensesofpreparingchildrenfortheirfuturecareer,andtheaccumulationofwealthtobeenjoyedafterthedeathofhimbywhomithasbeenearned。

Itisthennotthewantofwillbutthewantofpower,thatpreventseconomistsfromreckoningintheactionofmotivessuchasthese。andtheywelcomethefactthatsomekindsofphilanthropicactioncanbedescribedinstatisticalreturns,andcantoacertainextentbereducedtolaw,ifsufficientlybroadaveragesaretaken。Forindeedthereisscarcelyanymotivesofitfulandirregular,butthatsomelawwithregardtoitcanbedetectedbytheaidofwideandpatientobservation。ItwouldperhapsbepossibleevennowtopredictwithtolerableclosenessthesubscriptionsthatapopulationofahundredthousandEnglishmenofaveragewealthwillgivetosupporthospitalsandchapelsandmissions。and,insofarasthiscanbedone,thereisabasisforaneconomicdiscussionofsupplyanddemandwithreferencetotheservicesofhospitalnurses,missionariesandotherreligiousministers。Itwillhoweverprobablybealwaystruethatthegreaterpartofthoseactions,whichareduetoafeelingofdutyandloveofone’sneighbour,cannotbeclassed,reducedtolawandmeasured。anditisforthisreason,andnotbecausetheyarenotbasedonself-interest,thatthemachineryofeconomicscannotbebroughttobearonthem。

6。PerhapstheearlierEnglisheconomistsconfinedtheirattentiontoomuchtothemotivesofindividualaction。Butinfacteconomists,likeallotherstudentsofsocialscience,areconcernedwithindividualschieflyasmembersofthesocialorganism。Asacathedralissomethingmorethanthestonesofwhichitismade,asapersonissomethingmorethanaseriesofthoughtsandfeelings,sothelifeofsocietyissomethingmorethanthesumofthelivesofitsindividualmembers。Itistruethattheactionofthewholeismadeupofthatofitsconstituentparts。andthatinmosteconomicproblemsthebeststarting-pointistobefoundinthemotivesthataffecttheindividual,regardednotindeedasanisolatedatom,butasamemberofsomeparticulartradeorindustrialgroup。butitisalsotrue,asGermanwritershavewellurged,thateconomicshasagreatandanincreasingconcerninmotivesconnectedwiththecollectiveownershipofproperty,andthecollectivepursuitofimportantaims。Thegrowingearnestnessoftheage,thegrowingintelligenceofthemassofthepeople,andthegrowingpowerofthetelegraph,thepress,andothermeansofcommunicationareeverwideningthescopeofcollectiveactionforthepublicgood。

andthesechanges,togetherwiththespreadoftheco-operativemovement,andotherkindsofvoluntaryassociationaregrowingupundertheinfluenceofvariousmotivesbesidesthatofpecuniarygain:theyareeveropeningtotheeconomistnewopportunitiesofmeasuringmotiveswhoseactionithadseemedimpossibletoreducetoanysortoflaw。Butinfactthevarietyofmotives,thedifficultiesofmeasuringthem,andthemannerofovercomingthosedifficultiesareamongthechiefsubjectswithwhichweshallbeoccupiedinthistreatise。Almosteverypointtouchedinthepresentchapterwillneedtobediscussedinfullerdetailwithreferencetosomeoneormoreoftheleadingproblemsofeconomics。

7。Toconcludeprovisionally:economistsstudytheactionsofindividuals,butstudytheminrelationtosocialratherthanindividuallife。andthereforeconcernthemselvesbutlittlewithpersonalpeculiaritiesoftemperandcharacter。Theywatchcarefullytheconductofawholeclassofpeople,sometimesthewholeofanation,sometimesonlythoselivinginacertaindistrict,moreoftenthoseengagedinsomeparticulartradeatsometimeandplace:andbytheaidofstatistics,orinotherways,theyascertainhowmuchmoneyontheaveragethemembersoftheparticulargroup,theyarewatching,arejustwillingtopayasthepriceofacertainthingwhichtheydesire,orhowmuchmustbeofferedtothemtoinducethemtoundergoacertaineffortorabstinencethattheydislike。Themeasurementofmotivethusobtainedisnotindeedperfectlyaccurate。forifitwere,economicswouldrankwiththemostadvancedofthephysicalsciences。andnot,asitactuallydoes,withtheleastadvanced。

Butyetthemeasurementisaccurateenoughtoenableexperiencedpersonstoforecastfairlywelltheextentoftheresultsthatwillfollowfromchangesinwhichmotivesofthiskindarechieflyconcerned。Thus,forinstance,theycanestimateverycloselythepaymentthatwillberequiredtoproduceanadequatesupplyoflabourofanygrade,fromthelowesttothehighest,foranewtradewhichitisproposedtostartinanyplace。Whentheyvisitafactoryofakindthattheyhaveneverseenbefore,theycantellwithinashillingortwoaweekwhatanyparticularworkerisearning,bymerelyobservinghowfarhisisaskilledoccupationandwhatstrainitinvolvesonhisphysical,mentalandmoralfaculties。Andtheycanpredictwithtolerablecertaintywhatriseofpricewillresultfromagivendiminutionofthesupplyofacertainthing,andhowthatincreasedpricewillreactonthesupply。

And,startingfromsimpleconsiderationsofthiskind,iseconomistsgoontoanalysethecauseswhichgovernthelocaldistributionofdifferentkindsofindustry,thetermsonwhichpeoplelivingindistantplacesexchangetheirgoodswithoneanother,andsoon:andtheycanexplainandpredictthewaysinwhichfluctuationsofcreditwillaffectforeigntrade。oragaintheextenttowhichtheburdenofataxwillbeshiftedfromthoseonwhomitislevied,ontothoseforwhosewantstheycater。andsoon。

Inallthistheydealwithmanasheis:notwithanabstractoreconomicman。butamanoffleshandblood。Theydealwithamanwhoislargelyinfluencedbyegoisticmotivesinhisbusinesslifetoagreatextentwithreferencetothem。butwhoisalsoneitherabovevanityandrecklessness,norbelowdelightindoinghisworkwellforitsownsake,orinsacrificinghimselfforthegoodofhisfamily,hisneighbours,orhiscountry。amanwhoisnotbelowtheloveofavirtuouslifeforitsownsake。Theydealwithmanasheis:butbeingconcernedchieflywiththoseaspectsoflifeinwhichtheactionofmotiveissoregularthatitcanbepredicted,andtheestimateofthemotor-forcescanbeverifiedbyresults,theyhaveestablishedtheirworkonascientificbasis。

Forinthefirstplace,theydealwithfactswhichcanbeobserved,andquantitieswhichcanbemeasuredandrecorded。sothatwhendifferencesofopinionarisewithregardtothem,thedifferencescanbebroughttothetestofpublicandwell-establishedrecords。andthusscienceobtainsasolidbasisonwhichtowork。Inthesecondplace,theproblems,whicharegroupedaseconomic,becausetheyrelatespeciallytoman’sconductundertheinfluenceofmotivesthataremeasurablebyamoneyprice,arefoundtomakeafairlyhomogeneousgroup。Ofcoursetheyhaveagreatdealofsubject-matterincommon:thatisobviousfromthenatureofthecase。But,thoughnotsoobviousapriori,itwillalsobefoundtobetruethatthereisafundamentalunityofformunderlyingallthechiefofthem。andthatinconsequence,bystudyingthemtogether,thesamekindofeconomyisgained,asbysendingasinglepostmantodeliverallthelettersinacertainstreet,insteadofeachoneentrustinghisletterstoaseparatemessenger。Fortheanalysesandorganizedprocessesofreasoningthatarewantedforanyonegroupofthem,willbefoundgenerallyusefulforothergroups。

Thelessthenwetroubleourselveswithscholasticinquiriesastowhetheracertainconsiderationcomeswithinthescopeofeconomics,thebetter。Ifthematterisimportantletustakeaccountofitasfaraswecan。Ifitisoneastowhichthereexistdivergentopinions,suchascannotbebroughttothetestofexactandwell-ascertainedknowledge。ifitisoneonwhichthegeneralmachineryofeconomicanalysisandreasoningcannotgetanygrip,thenletusleaveitasideinourpurelyeconomicstudies。Butletusdososimplybecausetheattempttoincludeitwouldlessenthecertaintyandtheexactnessofoureconomicknowledgewithoutanycommensurategain。andrememberingalwaysthatsomesortofaccountofitmustbetakenbyourethicalinstinctsandourcommonsense,whentheyasultimatearbiterscometoapplytopracticalissuestheknowledgeobtainedandarrangedbyeconomicsandothersciences。

NOTES:

1。SomeremarksontherelationofeconomicstothesumtotalofsocialsciencewillbefoundinAppendixC,sections1,2。

2。Theobjectionsraisedbysomephilosopherstospeakingoftwopleasuresasequal,underanycircumstances,seemtoapplyonlytousesofthephraseotherthanthosewithwhichtheeconomistisconcerned。IthashoweverunfortunatelyhappenedthatthecustomaryusesofeconomictermshavesometimessuggestedthebeliefthateconomistsareadherentsofthephilosophicalsystemofHedonismorofUtilitarianism。For,whiletheyhavegenerallytakenforgrantedthatthegreatestpleasuresarethosewhichcomewiththeendeavourtodoone’sduty,theyhavespokenofpleasuresandpainsassupplyingthemotivestoallaction。

andtheyhavethusbroughtthemselvesunderthecensureofthosephilosophers,withwhomitisamatterofprincipletoinsistthatthedesiretodoone’sdutyisadifferentthingfromadesireforthepleasurewhich,ifonehappenstothinkofthematteratall,onemayexpectfromdoingit。thoughperhapsitmaybenotincorrectlydescribedasadesireforself-satisfactionorthesatisfactionofthepermanentself。

(SeeforinstanceT。H。Green,ProlegomenatoEthics,pp。165-6)

Itisclearlynotthepartofeconomicstoappeartotakeasideinethicalcontroversy:andsincethereisageneralagreementthatallincentivestoaction,insofarastheyareconsciousdesiresatall,maywithoutimproprietybespokenofshortlyasdesiresforsatisfaction,itmayperhapsbewelltousethiswordinsteadofpleasure,whenoccasionarisesforreferringtotheaimsofalldesires,whetherappertainingtoman’shigherorlowernature。Thesimpleantithesistosatisfactionisdissatisfaction:butperhapsitmaybewelltousetheshorterandequallycolourlessworddetriment。initsplace。

ItmayhoweverbenotedthatsomefollowersofBentham(thoughperhapsnotBenthamhimself)madethislargeuseofpainandpleasureserveasabridgebywhichtopassfromindividualisticHedonismtoacompleteethicalcreed,withoutrecognizingthenecessityfortheintroductionofanindependentmajorpremiss。andforsuchapremissthenecessitywouldappeartobeabsolute,althoughopinionswillperhapsalwaysdifferastoitsform。SomewillregarditastheCategoricalImperative。

whileotherswillregarditasasimplebeliefthat,whateverbetheoriginofourmoralinstincts,theirindicationsareborneoutbyaVerdictoftheexperienceofmankindtotheeffectthattruehappinessisnottobehadwithoutself-respect,andthatself-respectistobehadonlyontheconditionofendeavouringsotoliveastopromotetheprogressofthehumanrace。

3。CompareEdgeworth’sMathematicalPsychics。

4。Thisisspeciallytrueofthatgroupofgratifications,whichissometimesnamedthepleasuresofthechase。Theyincludenotonlythelight-heartedemulationofgamesandpastimes,ofhuntsandsteeplechases,butthemoreseriouscontestsofprofessionalandbusinesslife:andtheywilloccupyagooddealofourattentionindiscussionsofthecausesthatgovernwagesandprofits,andformsofindustrialorganization。

Somepeopleareofwaywardtemperament,andcouldgivenogoodaccounteventothemselvesofthemotivesoftheiraction。

Butifamanissteadfastandthoughtful,evenhisimpulsesaretheproductsofhabitswhichhehasadoptedmoreorlessdeliberately。And,whethertheseimpulsesareanexpressionofhishighernatureornot。whethertheyspringfrommandatesofhisconscience,thepressureofsocialconnection,ortheclaimsofhisbodilywants,heyieldsacertainrelativeprecedencetothemwithoutreflectionnow,becauseonpreviousoccasionshehasdecideddeliberatelytoyieldthatrelativeprecedence。Thepredominantattractivenessofonecourseofactionoverothers,evenwhennottheresultofcalculationatthetime,istheproductofmoreorlessdeliberatedecisionsmadebyhimbeforeinsomewhatsimilarcases。

5。SeeanadmirableessaybyCliffeLeslieonTheLoveofMoney。

Wedoindeedhearofpeoplewhopursuemoneyforitsownsakewithoutcaringforwhatitwillpurchase,especiallyattheendofalonglifespentinbusiness:butinthisasinothercasesthehabitofdoingathingiskeptupafterthepurposeforwhichitwasoriginallydonehasceasedtoexist。Thepossessionofwealthgivessuchpeopleafeelingofpowerovertheirfellow-creatures,andinsuresthemasortofenviousrespectinwhichtheyfindabitterbutstrongpleasure。

6。Infactaworldcanbeconceivedinwhichthereisascienceofeconomicsverymuchlikeourown,butinitthereisnomoneyofanysort。SeeAppendicesB,sec。8andD,sec。2。

7。SomeremarksonthelargescopeofeconomicsasconceivedinGermanywillbefoundinAppendixD,sec。3。

Chapter3

EconomicGeneralizationorLaws1。Itisthebusinessofeconomics,asofalmosteveryotherscience,tocollectfacts,toarrangeandinterpretthem,andtodrawinferencesfromthem。Observationanddescription,definitionandclassificationarethepreparatoryactivities。Butwhatwedesiretoreachtherebyisaknowledgeoftheinterdependenceofeconomicphenomena……Inductionanddeductionarebothneededforscientificthoughtastherightandleftfootarebothneededforwalking。(1*)Themethodsrequiredforthistwofoldworkarenotpeculiartoeconomics。theyarethecommonpropertyofallsciences。Allthedevicesforthediscoveryoftherelationsbetweencauseandeffect,whicharedescribedintreatisesonscientificmethod,havetobeusedintheirturnbytheeconomist:thereisnotanyonemethodofinvestigationwhichcanproperlybecalledthemethodofeconomics。buteverymethodmustbemadeserviceableinitsproperplace,eithersinglyorincombinationwithothers。Andasthenumberofcombinationsthatcanbemadeonthechess-board,issogreatthatprobablynotwogamesexactlyalikewereeverplayed。sonotwogameswhichthestudentplayswithnaturetowrestfromherherhiddentruths,whichwereworthplayingatall,evermadeuseofquitethesamemethodsinquitethesameway。

Butinsomebranchesofeconomicinquiryandforsomepurposes,itismoreurgenttoascertainnewfacts,thantotroubleourselveswiththemutualrelationsandexplanationsofthosewhichwealreadyhave。Whileinotherbranchesthereisstillsomuchuncertaintyastowhetherthosecausesofanyeventwhichlieonthesurfaceandsuggestthemselvesatfirstarebothtruecausesofitandtheonlycausesofit,thatitisevenmoreurgentlyneededtoscrutinizeourreasoningaboutfactswhichwealreadyknow,thantoseekformorefacts。

Forthisandotherreasons,therealwayshasbeenandthereprobablyalwayswillbeaneedfortheexistencesidebysideofworkerswithdifferentaptitudesanddifferentaims,someofwhomgivetheirchiefattentiontotheascertainmentoffacts,whileothersgivetheirchiefattentiontoscientificanalysis。thatistakingtopiecescomplexfacts,andstudyingtherelationsoftheseveralpartstooneanotherandtocognatefacts。Itistobehopedthatthesetwoschoolswillalwaysexist。eachdoingitsownworkthoroughly,andeachmakinguseoftheworkoftheother。Thusbestmayweobtainsoundgeneralizationsastothepastandtrustworthyguidancefromitforthefuture。

2。Thosephysicalsciences,whichhaveprogressedmostbeyondthepointstowhichtheywerebroughtbythebrilliantgeniusoftheGreeks,arenotallofthemstrictlyspeakingexactsciences。Buttheyallaimatexactness。Thatistheyallaimatprecipitatingtheresultofamultitudeofobservationsintoprovisionalstatements,whicharesufficientlydefinitetobebroughtundertestbyotherobservationsofnature。Thesestatements,whenfirstputforth,seldomclaimahighauthority。

Butaftertheyhavebeentestedbymanyindependentobservations,andespeciallyaftertheyhavebeenappliedsuccessfullyinthepredictionofcomingevents,oroftheresultsofnewexperiments,theygraduateaslaws。Ascienceprogressesbyincreasingthenumberandexactnessofitslaws。bysubmittingthemtotestsofeverincreasingseverity。andbyenlargingtheirscopetillasinglebroadlawcontainsandsupersedesanumberofnarrowerlaws,whichhavebeenshowntobespecialinstancesofit。

Insofarasthisisdonebyanyscience,astudentofitcanincertaincasessaywithauthoritygreaterthanhisown(greaterperhapsthanthatofanythinker,howeverable,whoreliesonhisownresourcesandneglectstheresultsobtainedbypreviousworkers),whatresultsaretobeexpectedfromcertainconditions,orwhatarethetruecausesofacertainknownevent。

Althoughthesubject-matterofsomeprogressivephysicalsciencesisnot,atpresentatleast,capableofperfectlyexactmeasurement。yettheirprogressdependsonthemultitudinousco-operationofarmiesofworkers。Theymeasuretheirfactsanddefinetheirstatementsascloselyastheycan:sothateachinvestigatormaystartasnearlyaspossiblewherethosebeforehimleftoff。Economicsaspirestoaplaceinthisgroupofsciences:becausethoughitsmeasurementsareseldomexact,andareneverfinal。yetitiseverworkingtomakethemmoreexact,andthustoenlargetherangeofmattersonwhichtheindividualstudentmayspeakwiththeauthorityofhisscience。

3。Letusthenconsidermorecloselythenatureofeconomiclaws,andtheirlimitations。Everycausehasatendencytoproducesomedefiniteresultifnothingoccurstohinderit。Thusgravitationtendstomakethingsfalltotheground:butwhenaballoonisfullofgaslighterthanair,thepressureoftheairwillmakeitriseinspiteofthetendencyofgravitationtomakeitfall。Thelawofgravitationstateshowanytwothingsattractoneanother。howtheytendtomovetowardsoneanother,andwill’movetowardsoneanotherifnothinginterferestopreventthem。

Thelawofgravitationisthereforeastatementoftendencies。

Itisaveryexactstatement-soexactthatmathematicianscancalculateaNauticalAlmanac,whichwillshowthemomentsatwhicheachsatelliteofJupiterwillhideitselfbehindJupiter。

Theymakethiscalculationformanyyearsbeforehand。andnavigatorstakeittosea,anduseitinfindingoutwheretheyare。Nowtherearenoeconomictendencieswhichactassteadilyandcanbemeasuredasexactlyasgravitationcan:andconsequentlytherearenolawsofeconomicswhichcanbecomparedforprecisionwiththelawofgravitation。

Butletuslookatasciencelessexactthanastronomy。Thescienceofthetidesexplainshowthetiderisesandfallstwiceadayundertheactionofthesunandthemoon:howtherearestrongtidesatnewandfullmoon,andweaktidesatthemoon’sfirstandthirdquarter。andhowthetiderunningupintoaclosedchannel,likethatoftheSevern,willbeveryhigh。andsoon。Thus,havingstudiedthelieofthelandandthewaterallroundtheBritishisles,peoplecancalculatebeforehandwhenthetidewillprobablybeatitshighestonanydayatLondonBridgeoratGloucester。andhowhighitwillbethere。Theyhavetousethewordprobably,whichtheastronomersdonotneedtousewhentalkingabouttheeclipsesofJupiter’ssatellites。For,thoughmanyforcesactuponJupiterandhissatellites,eachoneofthemactsinadefinitemannerwhichcanbepredictedbeforehand:butnooneknowsenoughabouttheweathertobeabletosaybeforehandhowitwillact。AheavydownpourofrainintheupperThamesvalley,orastrongnorth-eastwindintheGermanOcean,maymakethetidesatLondonBridgedifferagooddealfromwhathadbeenexpected。

Thelawsofeconomicsaretobecomparedwiththelawsofthetides,ratherthanwiththesimpleandexactlawofgravitation。

Fortheactionsofmenaresovariousanduncertain,thatthebeststatementoftendencies,whichwecanmakeinascienceofhumanconduct,mustneedsbeinexactandfaulty。Thismightbeurgedasareasonagainstmakinganystatementsatallonthesubject。butthatwouldbealmosttoabandonlife。Lifeishumanconduct,andthethoughtsandemotionsthatgrowuparoundit。Bythefundamentalimpulsesofournatureweall-highandlow,learnedandunlearned-areinourseveraldegreesconstantlystrivingtounderstandthecoursesofhumanaction,andtoshapethemforourpurposes,whetherselfishorunselfish,whethernobleorignoble。Andsincewemustformtoourselvessomenotionsofthetendenciesofhumanaction,ourchoiceisbetweenformingthosenotionscarelesslyandformingthemcarefully。Theharderthetask,thegreatertheneedforsteadypatientinquiry。

forturningtoaccounttheexperience,thathasbeenreapedbythemoreadvancedphysicalsciences。andforframingasbestwecanwellthought-outestimates,orprovisionallaws,ofthetendenciesofhumanaction。

4。Thetermlawmeansthennothingmorethanageneralpropositionorstatementoftendencies,moreorlesscertain,moreorlessdefinite。Manysuchstatementsaremadeineveryscience:butwedonot,indeedwecannot,givetoallofthemaformalcharacterandnamethemaslaws。Wemustselect。andtheselectionisdirectedlessbypurelyscientificconsiderationsthanbypracticalconvenience。Ifthereisanygeneralstatementwhichwewanttobringtobearsooften,thatthetroubleofquotingitatlength,whenneeded,isgreaterthanthatofburdeningthediscussionwithanadditionalformalstatementandanadditionaltechnicalname,thenitreceivesaspecialname,otherwisenot。(2*)

Thusalawofsocialscience,oraSocialLaw,isastatementofsocialtendencies。thatis,astatementthatacertaincourseofactionmaybeexpectedundercertainconditionsfromthemembersofasocialgroup。

Economiclaws,orstatementsofeconomictendencies,arethosesociallawswhichrelatetobranchesofconductinwhichthestrengthofthemotiveschieflyconcernedcanbemeasuredbyamoneyprice。

Thereisthusnohardandsharplineofdivisionbetweenthosesociallawswhichare,andthosewhicharenot,toberegardedalsoaseconomiclaws。Forthereisacontinuousgradationfromsociallawsconcernedalmostexclusivelywithmotivesthatcanbemeasuredbyprice,tosociallawsinwhichsuchmotiveshavelittleplace。andwhicharethereforegenerallyasmuchlesspreciseandexactthaneconomiclaws,asthosearethanthelawsofthemoreexactphysicalsciences。

Correspondingtothesubstantivelawistheadjectivelegal。Butthistermisusedonlyinconnectionwithlawinthesenseofanordinanceofgovernment。notinconnectionwithlawthesenseofastatementofrelationbetweencauseandeffect。Theadjectiveusedforthispurposeisderivedfromnorma,atermwhichisnearlyequivalenttolaw,andmightperhapswithadvantagebesubstitutedforitinscientificdiscussions。Andfollowingourdefinitionofaneconomiclaw,wemaysaythatthecourseofactionwhichmaybeexpectedundercertainconditionsfromthemembersofanindustrialgroupisthenormalactionofthemembersofthatgrouprelativelytothoseconditions。

ThisuseofthetermNormalhasbeenmisunderstood。anditmaybewelltosaysomethingastotheunityindifferencewhichunderliesvarioususesoftheterm。WhenwetalkofaGoodmanoraStrongman,werefertoexcellenceorstrengthofthoseparticularphysicalmentalormoralqualitieswhichareindicatedinthecontext。Astrongjudgehasseldomthesamequalitiesasastrongrower。agoodjockeyisnotalwaysofexceptionalvirtue。

Inthesamewayeveryuseofthetermnormalimpliesthepredominanceofcertaintendencieswhichappearlikelytobemoreorlesssteadfastandpersistentintheiractionoverthosewhicharerelativelyexceptionalandintermittent。Illnessisanabnormalconditionofman:butalonglifepassedwithoutanyillnessisabnormal。Duringthemeltingofthesnows,theRhinerisesaboveitsnormallevel:butinacolddryspringwhenitislessthanusualabovethatnormallevel,itmaybesaidtobeabnormallylow(forthattimeofyear)。Inallthesecasesnormalresultsarethosewhichmaybeexpectedastheoutcomeofthosetendencieswhichthecontextsuggests。or,inotherwords,whichareinaccordancewiththosestatementsoftendency,thoseLawsorNorms,whichareappropriatetothecontext。

Thisisthepointofviewfromwhichitissaidthatnormaleconomicactionisthatwhichmaybeexpectedinthelongrunundercertainconditions(providedthoseconditionsarepersistent)fromthemembersofanindustrialgroup。ItisnormalthatbricklayersinmostpartsofEnglandarewillingtoworkfor10d。anhour,butrefusetoworkfor7d。InJohannesburgitmaybenormalthatabricklayershouldrefuseworkatmuchlessthan?aday。Thenormalpriceofbonafidefreshlaideggsmaybetakentobeapennywhennothingissaidastothetimeoftheyear:andyetthreepencemaybethenormalpriceintownduringJanuary。andtwopencemaybeanabnormallylowpricethen,causedbyunseasonablewarmth。

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